Have we seen the 2,000 Guineas winner in the Craven?

The 4th of May will be quite an exciting day for horse enthusiasts. While in the USA the Kentucky Derby takes the spotlight, on the same day, in the UK, the traditional 2,000 Guineas race will take place in Newmarket. After the Craven stake last weekend, that crowned Skardu as the winner, will we see back to back wins for the thoroughbred? 

Both Masar and Roaring Lion emerged from the 2018 Craven Stakes to win Group 1 races later in the season, but neither colt was able to win the 2,000 Guineas just a few weeks later when Saxon Warrior claimed that prize for Aidan O’Brien. 

Haafhd was the last horse to complete the Craven-Guineas double back in 2004 while four horses accomplished that same achievement between 1985 and 1990 including the great Dancing Brave. Following the 2019 Craven Renewal, can any of those participants be considered capable of winning the second classic of the flat season? 

The Winner – Skardu 

After winning a Newmarket maiden by two lengths back in late September, Skardu was making just his second racecourse appearance when featuring in the Craven. Trained by William Haggas, the colt settled at the back in a slowly-run first half of the race before quickening well to lead in the final furlong and maybe idling towards the finishing line.

Skardu will probably progress from this race and has already become a Newmarket specialist. Although there may be a more generous pace in the 2,000 Guineas, the Craven winner has proven acceleration and he could be a major force in the classic. 

The Beaten Horses 

Royal Marine began the Craven as clear favourite having won a Group 1 contest at the ‘Arc’ meeting at Longchamp. However, the Godolphin colt disappointed at Meydan during January, and couldn’t settle at Newmarket before staying on to finish fourth. It may just be that he needs to relax more in races before justifying his decent reputation, and his form could improve as the season progresses. 

The Roger Charlton trained Momkin finished second and was not considered a serious threat based on a second finish in a three-horse race at Ffos Las in his final appearance last season. He may have improved considerably for that effort but seemed well-held by Skardu at the finish of the Craven. 

Both Set Piece and Zakouski who finished third and fifth respectively had raced only on all-weather surfaces prior to this contest and in the case of the latter, there were favourable reports based on his home gallops and winter progression. Do not be surprised then to see them clinch a Guineas victory. 

What of the other 2,000 Guineas contenders 

There is much speculation regarding the welfare of ante-post favourite Too Darn Hot after missing his intended prep race in the Greenham at Newbury due to a slight injury setback. Trainer John Gosden has indicated that a decision is likely after the Easter weekend, but he appeared in a confident mood when making that statement. His unbeaten colt will be difficult to beat if declared fit and reproducing last season’s form and he is the one leading the horse betting odds. 

Irish trainer Aidan O’Brien is likely to saddle both Ten Sovereigns and Magna Grecia without a prep race, with the former colt winning all three starts last season including the Middle Park Stakes. Racing over 6f on each occasion, there may be some stamina doubts regarding Ten Sovereigns as his sire No Nay Never was an American sprinter who won the Norfolk stakes in 2013. His dam was a moderate French middle-distance filly. 

Meanwhile, there is Galileo blood inside Magna Grecia, and he won last season’s Futurity Stakes at Doncaster after losing for the only time when beaten by Persian King at Newmarket. That race may have been a decent contest as the French-trained horse was a fairly easy five lengths winner in his recent seasonal appearance at Longchamp. If Andre Fabre targets the English classic, Persian King could be a threat. 

The Other Trial Winners Another contender could be Leopardstown 2,000 Guineas trial winner Never No More, also sired by No Nay Never. Racing over 5f or just over in his three races as a juvenile, the Aidan O’Brien colt has won both starts this season over seven furlongs with Guineas trial runner-up Madhmoon beaten for the first time in three contests. However, the French equivalent is the more likely option for Never No More. 

As for Greenham winner Mohaather, he has won his last three races in manner which suggests that he could be involved at the finish of the Guineas, and he appeals as an each-way contender.

Author: John Welsh

Finding The Right Value In Betting For 2019 Preakness Odds

The most effective and efficient way of making the most of your money in any sports betting is finding the value of each odds you play. Technically, once you find the right value in betting, you might be able to continue a winning streak and at the same time holding a great amount of profitable betting. 

Ideally, there are different types of betting where you can partake; however, the most versatile type of sports betting where you can have a lot of choices is horse racing. This is for the reason that a horse racing showdown is usually attended by a lot of entries and that the sports betting category set by all bookmakers comes in a lot of choices. In some cases, most bettors try to wage a specific amount of relies on the outcome of the game without even finding the value of their bets. This might work in some cases, but if you are targeting a practical betting, then finding the value in each odds before you wage deems the right way of betting. 

Furthermore, many sports bettors normally decide to place bets as many as they can. In fact the higher the number of bets you place, the more money you spent and the less earning you might get. To be honest in sports betting like horse racing, winning isn’t about putting the most number of bets, but it’s finding the right value where the odds should look like to be in your favour. 

What Is Value In Sports Betting Means? 

Talking about sports betting, the value of each odds comes either both in a positive or negative value. The positive value is only determined if the wager’s chance of winning is higher than the chance being shown in each odds. On the other hand, a value becomes negative when it’s the other way around of what positive value means. 

When you are on the process of placing your bets, you should entirely look for the odds that implies a positive value to make sure that you take part in value betting. This is the most precise and accurate way of making sure that you end up a profitable betting game. Sometime, an odd with a positive value might not be able to give you a win; but it rarely happens. Once you are wagering for a positive value odd, you know that the odds must be in your favour to win. 

Talking about sports and value betting, one of the most prestigious and grandest horse racing showdown in the United States about to kick off a few days from now. It will start on May 4 via Kentucky Derby, followed by the Preakness Stakes, and finally the Belmont Stakes. To be able to take part in value betting, 2019 Preakness Odds, Kentucky Derby entries, and Belmont Stakes predictions are now set for you to review to make sure that you have a reference which winning entry you should bet. 

How Should You Identify The Value of Sports Betting Markets? 

There are two ways to help you identify the value of the sports betting market. The first one is you look into the possibility of each odds in line with the race outcomes. The second is that, once you have identified the probabilities, you need to compare each one along with the implied possibilities of each odds. Ideally, the first step is an easier process to take while the second one deems a harder task to do. 

This is due to the reason that even if you have the most updated odds in front of you, a sports game result is always unpredictable. It entails a difficult job to draft an exact possibility of winning to a particular entry, how they are going to perform, or they should be a real winner. There are several factors you need to consider that’s why you need to make sure that you did a thorough research about their game backgrounds before you wage in a value betting. 

More Helpful Points On How To Find A Better Value

In reality, no sports analyst can give you a formula on how you can find the right value for betting. While this is a hard task to do, the best thing that we can give to you in finding a better value to all odds you are going to bet especially in horse racing showdown is by giving a handful and practical advise that each expert's bettors are normally following. Here are some to get you started. 

• Bet for the odds that you totally know 
• You need to ensure that you consider multiple factors that affect the game 
• Take a look at each probability before finding what the odds look like 
• Favourites may rarely work and sometimes you should not ignore them 
• Continue to shop around, compare each odds from time to time, and make the most out of your betting by knowing the previous game statistics of your entry

Grey horses who have won the Grand National

It’s a rare sight to see a grey horse race home to victory in the Grand National, but there have been several occasions when this has happened. The Aintree Grand National 2019 has recently seen a grey entry pull out of the race, as Bristol De Mai has been removed from the race by trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies. 

Despite Bristol De Mai’s withdrawal, there are still several grey horses left in the race including: Vintage Clouds, Lake View Lad and Baie Des Iles. The first is one of the favourites for the race, having been priced at 12/1, Lake View Lad will race at a price of 14/1, while the latter is a 33/1 shot. Those who follow the Grand National will know that long odds don’t necessarily mean you won’t win. 

We have taken a look at the three grey horses who have raced to victory at the Grand National and the odds that they set off at. 

The Lamb 

It was 29 years after the very first Grand National that a grey horse won the race. The Lamb, ridden by Mr George Ede, raced home to victory in 1868 at a price of 9/1 ahead of Pearl Diver, Alcibiade and Captain Crosstree. 

Not content with one win, The Lamb would claim his second Grand National win three years later, this time ridden by Tommy Pickernell. He was given a price of 5/1 prior to the race and finished two lengths ahead of Despatch in second and five lengths ahead of Scarrington in third. 

With two Grand National victories under his belt, The Lamb set the standard for grey horses, and it would be nearly 100 years before another grey horse would claim the prestigious trophy. 

Nicolaus Silver 

The 1961 Grand National saw Nicolaus Silver take home the spoils after becoming the first grey horse since The Lamb to win the race. His price prior to the race was 28/1, with the favourite, Jonjo, being priced at 7/1, suggesting that it’d take something special for Nicolaus Silver to win. 

The 1960 winner – Merryman II – was priced at 8/1 and managed to keep pace with Nicolaus Silver until the final two fences, where Nicolaus Silver, ridden by Bobby Beasley managed to run clear of the chasing pack and win by a comfortable five lengths. 

This would be the only Grand National win by a grey horse in the 20th century. 

Neptune Collonges 

It took another 51 years for a grey horse to win the Grand National, with Neptune Collonges claiming victory in 2012’s race. This victory should be the most encouraging victory for Baie Des Iles, as Neptune Collonges raced at the same price Baie Des Iles is this time – 33/1.

The trio of Sunnyhillboy, Seabass and Neptune Collonges broke away from the pack down the home straight and with 100 yards to go, Sunnyhillboy was in the lead and one length ahead of Neptune Collonges. The grey gelding, spurred on by jockey Daryl Jacobs, closed the gap and as they crossed the finish line, no one could tell who had won. 

After reviewing the photo finish multiple times, Neptune Collonges was declared the winner by a nose. The 33-1 outsider had done it, although it had taken one-and-a-half minutes for the result to come through and following the victory he was immediately retired.

Can Richard Johnson Win 2019 Grand National?

Credit: Betway

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Aintree Betting Tips 2019

The Grand National gets everyone talking and we're here to pick out a few potential horses worth backing. There's three horses which stand out in the current field and it may be worth taking the prices now before declarations are made. 

Before looking into Aintree betting tips, it's best to look at trends to seek out which horses will arguably run best. 

The most winners have had at least 10 chase runs in their career, aged between 8-11, have run at least three times in the current season and have normally run within the last 20-60 days. 

A horse which ticks plenty of those boxes is Willie Mullins' Rathvinden, who is a 33/1 shot to win the National. A former National Hunt Chase winner over four miles at Cheltenham and with plenty of proven stamina, the eleven-year-old can handle all kinds of ground, having won on everything from good to firm to heavy. 

The veteran horse won on his latest run, which was the BetVictor Bobbyjo Chase, beating Gordon Elliott's Alpha Des Obeaux by over three lengths.

Another horse which is an each-way chance this year is Lake View Lad. He has won or placed in 11 of his 12 chase starts, winning both his races this season.  

There are question marks around his stamina, as there are with a lot of horses in this race, but he ran an absolute blinder at the Cheltenham Festival and at 20/1, there's a good opportunity he can at least place. 

Ms Parfois was second in the Midlands Grand National, proving that stamina is not an issue and, with a clean round, there is no reason why Anthony Honeyball's horse won't win. 

Not only was Ms Parfois second in the Midlands Grand National, but she was also the 2018 National Hunt Chase runner-up and a top-five finish looks a great bet. 

At odds of 25/1, Ms Parfois is a serious contender to take Tiger Roll's title and prevent him from being the first horse to win back-to-back National titles since Red Rum in 1974. 

But it is also hard to not look at the race favourite in Tiger Roll, whose Cross Country win at the Cheltenham Festival was simply incredible. He won at a canter by over 20 lengths and, as a result, his odds have been cut to just 5/1 to win his second National. 

If Tiger Roll manages to avoid any trouble and race from the front, he is simply the best horse in the race. 5/1 is one of the shortest odds a horse has ever been for the National but, clearly, the bookmakers do not want to take the risk.